Archive for the 'Strategy' Category

Why Things Are More Grim Than Most People Think

I posted a little while ago pretty much calling into question most web revenue. In my post I mentioned;

the eventual discovery that online advertising doesn’t really work, and that there are a bunch of emerging technologies that could cause a significant dent in how much of the ad biz comes the online way.

A comment on the post asked me to clarify my views, to which I replied;

1) I’m something of an outlier. No TV, fully self-informed consumer on the odd occasions that I consume and kind of impervious to marketing - so from that perspective for me advertising doesn’t work

2) Even though Google is very targeted, in comparison to old school advertising - I believe it’s the tip of the iceberg in terms of how far we could go with true “personal intention” type stuff. To that end I believe a significant proportion of advertising as we know will be rendered unnecessary

To add fuel to my argument I was please to read this post by Yves. They have a pretty successful website that since its inception has attracted 35000 visits - that’s a fair number of visits in anyone’s estimation.

They have adds on the front page as a way to drive some revenue - if only to cover costs.

And how much money have they made?…….$15

35000 visits and $15

To put that in perspective, in order to derive a modest income of $50000, one would have to generate 120 million visits a year.

OK I know the metric is kind of wrong, advertising success is dependent on content, heavily trafficked sites are attractive and that some people are actually making money of advertising - but notwithstanding all of that…

$15

Now this is what Traction and Credibility Taste Like

Great for Xero that they’ve picked up one of the "big four". As announced over on the Xero blog Deloitte NZ has signed up as a Xero partner. Deloitte are one of the big boys - they don’t partner on a whim. They’ve also got international scale and presence so the partnership lubricates Xero’s global expansion plans.

Bridget Musker, Associate Director in Deloitte’s Accounting & Advisory practice focused on helping SMEs grow, commented…

For our clients, Xero dovetails brilliantly with our ‘Virtual CFO’ service where our Deloitte team is on call and available to assist businesses on all sorts of strategic, financial or management issues

Which pretty much means that they realise that accountants are traditionally on the back foot and being the first of the big four to partner with Xero gives them a point of difference when compared to the other players.

Well done Xero - I wonder who is next?

Computerworld on Chrome

Computerworld published an article this morning looking at just how "game changing" Google’s Chrome browser is.

In the article CEO of Xero, Rod Drury, Marketing manager of ProjectPartner and myself were interviewed.

Check it out here.

Zoho – Another Approach to Sustainable Growth

Phil Wainewright put up a very thought provoking post the other day, speculating if Zoho could outgrow Salesforce.com. A worthwhile read, the stand out bit being his summation;

A disruptive model? Just as Salesforce.com’s CEO Marc Benioff dismisses conventional software vendors such as Oracle and SAP as dinosaurs on the verge of extinction, so Vembu looks on Salesforce.com’s high-cost, premium-priced model (in comparison to Zoho’s) as a throwback to the days of old-fashioned enterprise software….. Meanwhile, Zoho’s decision not to turn to advertising as a source of revenue is also appropriate for the business market and a useful differentiator against Google, the other big player making headway in that mass SMB sector. On balance, Zoho’s model offers enough value to an under-served market to qualify as disruptive and its state of preparedness for a difficult economic environment could well see it emerge the other side of the coming recession as a leading player.

This got me thinking… So far most of the we dialogue on financial models has been based around a number of streams.

Freemium models seem to be getting the most coverage. I was never that impressed (Ben has a good piece here on why) and with the credit crunch I’m even less inclined to believe in this. To be honest I’d be amazed to see this one survive the credit crunch

Advertising supported - Google is the poster child. Fairly self-explanatory how it works.

Traditional pay as you go models – Salesforce.com There is another way to get scale, then monetise Internet assets, funnily enough it’s a variant on the Google model and is being used by Zoho. This approach is to use an existing revenue engine to fund the growth of the start-up, in Zoho’s case it is parent company AdventNet who are funding the Zoho development. The interesting dynamic here is the financial impacts. No debt and organic growth build rock-solid stability. I don’t believe people fully understand the economics at play here. The scale challenges a startup have to conquer are enormous, but when they get there the marginal costs plummet and accordingly your profits go up.  Check this from Zoho.

Google and Microsoft have clearly reached scale (in their own markets), Salesforce.com hasn’t… yet. I’m told that their PaaS play is starting to really reap benefits, huge customers signing up, customers putting Tb’s of Data thru a day. All driving economies of scale.

Getting back to Zoho, the more I look at it, the more I like the model. Self fund to scale, charge for premium services, consider a slow introduction of pay as you go later (I’d put in an easy migration path for those who aren’t ever going to pay) and above all keep it scaling. We see Amazon’s mantra all over again, ‘GBF’ “Get Big Fast”, but without the debt and with a fairly logical path to monetisation.

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